Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.911901 1.114439 1.330627 1.576566 1.846707 2.132680 2.456620
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.681292 0.963298 1.287155 1.678096 2.129552 2.627811 3.212907
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.536517 0.851250 1.233069 1.713208 2.285830 2.934071 3.711397
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.414749 0.744255 1.166960 1.719545 2.397986 3.183086 4.141198
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.301080 0.623982 1.064704 1.664382 2.421926 3.316969 4.427019
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.214260 0.523007 0.973284 1.610762 2.437976 3.433987 4.687057
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.154537 0.449032 0.907845 1.581644 2.476924 3.572428 4.967217
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.121161 0.411246 0.888839 1.610580 2.586754 3.795438 5.347591
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.090483 0.369656 0.858484 1.619678 2.667886 3.981021 5.681479
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.060306 0.317832 0.805173 1.591172 2.695710 4.097359 5.928997
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054344 0.320638 0.840973 1.691745 2.896528 4.432743 6.446957
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.048344 0.321452 0.872665 1.786080 3.089186 4.758410 6.953986
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041941 0.321561 0.906983 1.891402 3.307045 5.129316 7.534290
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035878 0.320747 0.939815 1.995882 3.526291 5.505532 8.126052
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025488 0.299609 0.932816 2.037540 3.657431 5.767282 8.574208
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015177 0.269051 0.904287 2.043512 3.737641 5.962623 8.939351
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005496 0.222168 0.836632 1.982926 3.720951 6.029434 9.141099
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000942 0.181213 0.773005 1.923476 3.702049 6.090583 9.333537
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.152033 0.728570 1.891270 3.718823 6.195882 9.579206
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.140221 0.722606 1.923303 3.828931 6.425545 9.984268
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.124777 0.704819 1.933380 3.905855 6.610392 10.331829
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.102825 0.664984 1.901814 3.919062 6.708294 10.566695
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.108977 0.704090 2.013076 4.147780 7.099250 11.181932